P.I.E. Pattern Intelligence — Drone Supply Chain Flags & Predictions

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Active Intel Sources

Visual overview of the UAS supply chain intelligence landscape. Data from PIE pipeline — 0 flags across 0 analysis layers.

Severity Distribution

Flag Categories

Component Risk Heatmap

How many flags mention each critical component. More flags = more supply chain pressure.

Blue UAS BOM Cost Breakdown — $4,348 Total

Where the money goes in a compliant ISR quad. Mesh radio alone is 41% of total cost.

Supply Chain Geographic Risk

Allied nation dependency — where critical components are manufactured.

Government Program Demand Signals

Which programs are driving the most component demand.

Intelligence Confidence Levels

How confident is each flag? Higher confidence = stronger evidence chain.

Data Sources

— miners across — categories

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Global UAS supply chain intelligence across 42 countries. Tap a region to drill in. Bookmark any region: /patterns/#region-europe

Blue UAS & tracked platforms from Forge DB (— platforms) · Compliance from Compliance Dashboard

⚠ Gray Zone Warning

4 entities detected operating between Blue UAS (trusted) and banned adversary platforms. Marketing to government buyers while carrying adversary supply chain dependencies. See Flags tab → filter "Gray Zone" for full intel.

Gray Zone Entities (4 tracked)

Blue UAS Cleared Platforms (8 tracked in PIE)

46 critical components tracked · Risk-scored by supply chain vulnerability, diversion risk & geographic concentration · Full DB: 3,800+ components

Generated by correlation engine: Granger causality, cross-correlation & structural VAR models against Forge DB + distributor data

Interactive supply chain disruption simulator. Select a scenario or build your own to see cascade effects across the Blue UAS ecosystem.

Select Disruption Scenario

Build Your Own Scenario

Pick a component and ask "what happens if this takes X weeks to get?" — the simulator traces every platform and government program that would be affected.

1. What component gets disrupted?

2. How bad does it get? (lead time in weeks)

30 wk

Tight (4 wk) Constrained Allocation-only Crisis (52 wk)

Manufacturer Viability Intelligence

Ranked by acq. risk ↓

Key UAS manufacturers tracked by financial health, program dependency, and acquisition risk. Viability events directly impact platform supply chains.

VAR / DEALER INTELLIGENCE

Ranked by est. revenue ↓

US drone value-added resellers ranked by revenue, NDAA posture, and DJI exposure risk. FCC Dec 2025 ban on new foreign drone authorizations is reshaping every VAR's book of business.

INTELLIGENCE TIMELINE

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PIPELINE OBSERVABILITY

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DAILY SNAPSHOTS

PREDICTION ARCHIVE

DATA EXPLORER

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